Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only! Be advised, the author is not a registered broker-dealer or financial advisor. Before investing in any securities, you should consult with your financial advisor and a registered broker-dealer. See the full disclaimer at the bottom of this article.

EvenPrime's 2018 Trading Portfolio

In 2017, I doubled the value of my trading account. The girlfriend was finally having faith in me, my phone went from zero investing friends to twenty-seven. I started using CEO.ca everyday, and soon upgraded to CEO PRO which had me learning about the markets faster than Skynet could ;p I came in 28th place in the CEO.ca Stock Picking Contest (out of 146) and was starting to feel like I knew what was really going on.

Then 2018 happened. I quickly went from Hero to Zero, to negative portfolio Hoser. Thankfully, I panicked and sold most of my stocks in late January but have taken losses on just about everything I've held since then. 

As 2018 rolls by, I am left thinking ... was I the only one taken out to the woodshed? 

I recently got the CEO.ca Stock Picking Contests updated (huge thanks to @Mathematics and his python mastery). But before we pour over the numbers lets analyse two common junior investor charts:

  • The GDXJ VanEck Vectors Junior Gold Miners ETF 

The GDXJ is currently 10% lower than its 200 day moving average and has dropped 33% since February, 2017.

  • The CDNX S&P/TSX Venture Composite Index

The CDNX is 8% below its 200 day moving average and is down 25% since January of this year.

Reviewing these two charts , things do not look good. But I often hear people talking about holding long term, and when a stock is tumbling, people are quick to say others have weak hands.  

The 2017 Stock Picking Contest ( 146 Users)

Yet, according to this data (remember, its just a fun and friendly contest), statistically speaking, over this period, it appears that the people with 'weak hands' were the smart hands. The number of people who doubled their portfolio has dropped from 14% to 5%. More noticeably, the number of people who were losing more than 25% of their portfolio value has nearly tripled in 11 months from 16% to 45%. This indicates that 45% (66/146) of the 2017 CEO.ca Contest participants have seen their portfolios lose more than 25% and 66% (96/146) of participants are now below zero.

Looking at the top 20 winners as of January 1, 2018 and comparing their portfolio to today's value, we see everyone's has receded except the mighty @Stocklor and the infamous @Stateside!

So how about the 2018 CEO.ca Stock Picking Contest? 

The 2018 contest, with its 431 participants, should statistically see a better (more accurate, larger sample size) picture of what is going on.

The 2018 CEO.ca Stock Picking Contest (431 Users)

0.5% of participants are greater than 100% meaning just two people have doubled their portfolio and a whopping 72% of users are down more than 25%.  You can also infer from the table that 87% (379/431) of participants currently have a negative portfolio. <- Incredible!

Lets add perspective.  Look at the gains of the top 30 participants from both contests


Looking at the top 30 in each contest you can see 2017 was a much better year for investing in the juniors. I'm sure that Blockchain bubble had much to do with it and even I got caught in that storm. They say we learn more when we lose so if you are like me, and the other 87% of us that are losing, please take a moment to reflect. 2019 is just around the corner so hope for the best, prepare for the worse.

 "No astronaut goes into space with their fingers crossed, that is not how we deal with risk!" - Chris Hadfield

Think about that one, when you make your next move - stay safe my friends :)


A word of caution about the data. The python program we created cannot automatically account for stock consolidations, I can only find those manually.  I've caught about 50 over the last 2 years.  If you see mistakes, please inform me and I will update them accordingly. Remember this contest is for fun and educational purposes only. I am not a stock broker, or investment advisor, please see my disclaimer. 

To view all the contests please check out www.EPstatistics.com and see the links at the top (or click the hamburger if using mobile). I will update them every Friday from now until the contest ends.

Disclaimer: This article is intended for informational purposes only! All statements in this report, other than statements of historical fact should be considered forward-looking statements. These statements relate to future events or future performance. Forward-looking statements are often, but not always identified by the use of words such as "seek", "anticipate", "plan", "continue", "estimate", "expect", "may", "will", "project", "predict", "potential", "targeting", "intend", "could", "might", "should", "believe" and similar expressions. Much of this report is comprised of statements of projection. These statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results or events to differ materially from those anticipated in such forward-looking statements. Risks and uncertainties respecting mineral exploration companies are generally disclosed in the annual financial or other filing documents of those and similar companies as filed with the relevant securities commissions, and should be reviewed by any reader of this report.

The author is an independent consultant who performs website moderation work for CEO.CA. The views expressed in this report are the personal views of the author and do not reflect those of CEO.CA. Nothing in this report should be construed as a solicitation to buy or sell any securities mentioned anywhere in this report. This article is intended for informational and entertainment purposes only!

Be advised, the author is not a registered broker-dealer or financial advisor. Before investing in any securities, you should consult with your financial advisor and a registered broker-dealer.

Never, ever, make an investment based solely on what you read in an online report, including this one, especially if the investment involves a small, thinly-traded company that isn't well known.

Past performance is not indicative of future results and should not be used as a reason to purchase any stocks mentioned in this report or on this website.

None of the author, nor Pacific Website Company Incorporated (dba CEO.CA) or its affiliates, nor their shareholders, directors, officers, or other personnel, shall be liable for any damages, losses, or costs of any kind or type arising out of or in any way connected with the use of this report. You should independently investigate and fully understand all risks before investing. When investing in speculative stocks, it is possible to lose your entire investment.

Any decision to purchase or sell as a result of the opinions expressed in this report will be the full responsibility of the person authorizing such transaction, and should only be made after such person has consulted a registered financial advisor and conducted thorough due diligence. Information in this report has been obtained from sources considered to be reliable, but the author does not guarantee that they are accurate or complete. The author’s views and opinions in this report are his own views and are based on information that he has received, and assumed to be reliable. The author does not guarantee that the company mentioned in this report will perform as he expects, and any comparisons made to other companies may not be valid or come into effect.

We do not undertake any obligation to publicly update or revise any statements made in this report.