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CEO.CA members discuss high-risk penny stocks which can lose their entire value. Only risk what you can afford to lose.
@Goldfinger$Gold is in an ultra long-term secular bull market. Miners are a slightly different story, however, I believe a very important low was made in January 2016 and we have only seen 1/2 or less of the full extent of the cyclical rally from that low. $GDX
@0Kib@Goldfinger on Technicals you may be right about large cap US equities. Almost every major correction over the past 100 years has been preceded by the #HindenbergOmen flashing. But not every time it flashes is there a correction. So it is sort of a necessary but not sufficient technical signal. That technical indicator isn't flashing now so a big correction is unlikely immediately.
@GoldfingerThanks @Excelsior, I don't like those 2001-2013 seasonality charts because it's not that large of a sample. We know that there is often at least one good sized dip during May in the $gold sector. Let's see if the market "front ran" the May dip.
@FundamentalAnalysis@Goldfinger Do you have any views on long term whether we are in a big neutral price period. Since Mid 2013 we have been stuck in the range for the most part.....seems like the 80s/90s again
@Excelsior@Goldfinger - One of those seasonality charts was a 30 year #Gold chart and it mirrored the one that Adam Hamilton posted of the $HUI from 2001-2013 where May was up on both #charts. It just seemed to fit in with the April hit and May pop that have been seen in the past, but of course, each year is unique and while history doesn't repeat, it often rhymes.
You said it well "Let's see if the market "front ran" the May dip." - I'm with ya on that.
June/July typically are the pullback for Gold & the miners in the #SummerDoldrums
@GoldfingerHaywood on $NXE:
"We expect the maiden PEA on the Arrow deposit will confirm our view that Arrow has the potential to become one of the lowest cost uranium mines on the planet, and could be a significant catalyst for the stock when delivered mid-year. Drill results from the gap between the ‘180 zone’ and the main Arrow deposit highlight the resource expansion potential of the Rook 1 project as none of this area is captured in any resource estimate to-date on the project."
@ARIMA@Goldfinger is on fire. I just got caught with my pants down. I came around back and got on the bid but did not think they would go from buying their drill on the 25th to starting to drill on the 27th. I misread the signal big time. The volume yesterday was a big red flag. Rookie mistake.
@speculatorX2 on your post @goldfinger ... i dont think there is a tru breakdown until about $2.91. That looks like it will be tested soon. Ive tried hard to crystal ball this thing the past couple weeks, i think the $2.91 will be tested first week of may. Then maybe a bounce ? I also suspect a bounce could start first week of May, We will have to see. Although it looks bad, $nxe has held up much better than $URA and U.TO , URA has fully broken support. Sentiment on nxe still seems loud with a true breakdown not confirmed, and selling volume drying up. I still would bet on the 200 daily sma getting tested. Again, i dont feal that really will be confirmed until $2.91 is difinitvley broken. I will add ... there is all that $2.80 support from last year as well. I wouldnt rule out a senario, where $2.80 ish is touched and a sideways trade where the 200dsma comes up to meet the share price. Anything can hapen ... im just speculating, i cant help it :)
@GoldfingerHuge activity in July $24 strike $VIX calls, 100,000 contract trade (~30x previous open interest). Looks like that '50 Cent' trader just bet another $5,000,000 that we are in for a big surge in volatility this summer. $SPY
June $21 $VIX calls also seeing unusual activity, already trading 2x open interest today.
@Goldfinger$GDXJ closes below its 2-standard deviation Bollinger Band for the 4th straight session. Only happened 6 times before and each time GDXJ was higher 5 days and 10 days later - last time was December 19, 2016 which turned out to be a major low from which GDXJ rallied ~60% over the next couple of months: http://cdn.ceo.ca/1cg4k1u-GDXJ_BB_4.27.2017.png+
Big difference between now and December 19th is that $gold was $1140 then and had just finished falling nearly $200/oz during the last 7 weeks. Today $gold is $1265, less than 3% off its high of a couple weeks ago. Interesting moment. My post from this morning attempts to understand some of what may be going on with gold miner valuations here: @goldfinger/on-gold-miner-valuations-may-seasonality
@GoldfingerCanada isn't the US, so don't worry the bursting of the Canadian housing bubble will be contained...... right? It can't be that bad can it? I mean aren't Canadians tied to their houses in blood? Like they can't walk away without literally selling everything and having their bank accounts repossessed etc. ?
@GoldfingerProblem with a "correction" is that even a 10% drop kills the entire flipping market in one fell swoop which in turn triggers more forced liquidations. It's never just a correction when prices have risen as aggressively as they have in Toronto and Vancouver. Leverages ensures that prices rise powerfully, but also eventually decline violently.
@GoldfingerWhenever you see aggressive flipping and people who have no business being 'investors' getting involved in large numbers in a particular market you know the end can't be far. Sometimes it takes a year or two, but the market eventually falls over under the burden of its own weight. My guess is we're there in Canada, and sure the banks and gov will do everything they possible can to prop it up and contain the spill. Canadian Dollar likely to pay the biggest price. $1.40 might not be far away for $USDCAD.